Thursday, May 12, 2005

Trading Updates: Awards 'Bogged Down," Lusa Says; Low Volume Wearies Investors

ERHC Energy investors, grown weary of waiting for block awards from the Nigeria-Sao Tome and Principe Joint Development Authority as Sao Tome's political leaders jockey for power, traded just 134,330 shares in the opening half hour and sent the stock down two cents from yesterday's close.

Update, 6:45pm EDT, 5/12/05: The share price ended the day unchanged at $0.69, the Ask, after trading over a three-cent range between $0.67 and $0.70 during a day of light volume of just 586,489 shares. ADVN counted 134 trades today, with the 2:1 Sell:Buy margin of this morning improving to 3:2, including 230,601 Buys and 332,888 Sells and 13,000 shares unidentified, The day closed with a 10,000 buy at the bell, and the Ask sitting at $0.69.

Meanwhile, we were slow to find a Lusa story from yesterday predicting more delays:
11-05-2005 12:55:00.
Fonte LUSA.
Notícia SIR-6990470
Temas:


Sao Tome: Oil blocks award process needs 'correction', says ousted Trovoada

Sao Tome, May 11 (Lusa) - Sao Tome and Principe's sacked presidential oil adviser says "we all erred" in the stalled process of awarding oil exploration blocks in an offshore zone shared with Nigeria and that the process should be revisited to get "a better deal" for the archipelago.

Patrice Trovoada, speaking at a news conference Tuesday, three days after President Fradique de Meneses dismissed him, criticized the bilateral Joint Development Authority (JDA) that oversees the awarding of five blocks in the latest licensing round.

The JDA, he said, should take decisions based on technical data, rather than in consideration of the political interests competing foreign oil companies.

"We have all erred, but we must make corrections to move forward and stop making noises", said Trovoada, who leads the AID party, the junior partner in the islands' governing coalition.

He called for "a climate of peace and understanding", especially with Nigeria, in order for the archipelago to obtain "a better deal" under the 2001 bilateral treaty that splits revenues from the Gulf of Guinea Joint Development Zone 60:40 in Abuja's favor.

De Menezes, who earlier appeared ready to sign off on an awards scheme approved by the senior Joint Ministerial Council in Abuja in late April, fired Trovoada Saturday as his oil adviser, charging he had used his post to promote his own business interests.

The long delayed awarding of five exploration blocks now appears again bogged down by political infighting, pitting the president against the governing parties, ADI and the senior MLSTP.

The MLSTP of Prime Minister Damiao Vaz de Almeida accused de Menezes earlier this week of seeking personal gain in the process and of possibly holding shares in one of the competing companies, the US- headquartered, but majority Nigerian controlled, ERHC-Energy.

RCN/SAS.

Lusa

Update, 2:22pm EDT, 5/12/05: The price slips to $0.685, the new Ask, as the Bid falls to $0.675 and volume hits 344,004 shares.

Update, 1:38pm EDT, 5/12/05: The price inches up to $0.69, with the Ask and Bid unchanged at $0.68 x $0.69. The volume is 286,894 shares. It's difficult to recall the last time when volume was below 300,000 at this time of day.

Update, 1:25pm EDT, 5/12/05: In just 70 trades by 12:51, ADVFN on a 15-minute delay reports that 92,066 were Buys and 178,828 were Sells, with only 2,000 unidentified. Nine of the last 10 trades were Sells totaling 29,200 shares, while the five immediately preceding those were Buys totaling 34,600. Stock-watchers like myself are falling asleep. At 1:27pm EDT, the current price is $0.68, the Bid, and the Ask is lower at $0.69 on volume of 282,894 shares.

Here's some breaking oil news on the Iraq-UN allocation scandal:

US probe links ex-French minister, British MP to Iraq oil scandal
Thursday May 12, 9:10 PM
Agence France-Presse

PARIS -- A controversial British MP and a French former cabinet minister took huge oil allocations in kickbacks from Saddam Hussein's ousted Iraqi regime under the UN oil-for-food program, a US Senate committee charged.

The committee has "detailed evidence" that Britain's George Galloway and French former interior minister Charles Pasqua received "lucrative oil allocations" from Baghdad, said Republican Senator and panel chairman Norm Coleman in a report.

The report by the US Senate's Permanent Sub-committee on Investigations is based on what it says are Iraqi oil ministry documents and testimony of senior officials in Saddam's regime, ousted in the US-led invasion in March 2003.

Galloway furiously denied the allegations as "a big lie."

The MP, who formed his own political group after being kicked out of Prime Minister Tony Blair's governing Labour Party for his virulent rhetoric against the Iraq war, won huge libel damages from a British newspaper last year after it made similar allegations.

"It doesn't matter how long you repeat a falsehood, it doesn't become other than a falsehood," Galloway told BBC radio.

"The big lie technique of telling a big lie often enough in the hope that people will believe it is clearly at work here."

Pasqua also denied the allegations.

"In January 2004, and then again in October 2004, I denied having received any advantages whatsoever, in any form, from the Iraqi authorities or the regime of Saddam Hussein," the former minister said in a statement.

Update, 1:00pm EDT, 5/12/05: The price is back to $0.68, while the Bid has risen to $0.685 and the Ask to $0.695, on slow volume of 272,894.

Update, 12:18pm EDT, 5/12/05: The price and Bod. $0.675, are unchanged, but he the Ask has risen to $0.685, on volume of 251.494, a glacial pace.

Update, 11:39am EDT, 5/12/05: The price remains at $0.675, still the Bid, with volume at a low 206,869 and the Ask at $0.68.

Update, 10:42am EDT, 5/12/05: The price is $0.675, the Bid, with volume at 175,229 and the Ask still at $0.68.

Update, 10:27am EDT, 5/12/05: The price is $0.68 and the Bid has risen to $0.675 on volume of 164,755 and climbing.

Update, 10:04am EDT, 5/12/05: The price and Bid are $0.67 and the Ask $0.68 as a total of 141,830 shares trade.

17 comments:

Anonymous said...

FYI, Portuguese agency´s LusaNews English service (www.lusa.pt) carrying short on STP Supreme Court annulling "fraudulent" accord with Greek telecom company.

Bests,

Anonymous said...

Probably, and hopefully, nothing, MarkvolO. But it may help illustrate the political and judicial atmosphere in STP.

My personal interests in the islands predate and go way beyond ERHC.

G'nite,

Anonymous said...

Well it will be interesting to hear if there is any update tonight or tomorrow morning on the meetings that took place today in Sao Tome.

They were supposed to be meeting today and tommorow.

Hopefully they wrap things up soon.

Oil will be at $20 a barrel by the time they sign this thing at the rate they are going.

The Nigerians must not be happy seeing all of the delays in Sao Tome. It is holding up the Nigerian EEZ which is not good with falling oil prices. The bids will be less.

Plus who will want to do business in this part of the world with all of the delays in Sao Tome?

Anonymous said...

Honestly - like you even give a shit about who will do business with them or if the Nigerians are upset with them. All most of you want is to get rich quick off the backs off this stock and couldn't give a flying fcuk about much else. You all relaize that this has beena complete and utter dissapointment and the volume today shows that no one gives a rats ass about your bribered awards, and most of you can't face the reality of the situation.

Please, the stock has been bleeding for days, this is a stock that will be at 3.00 the second awards are announced? Don't order your porsches quite yet fellas!

You know what - the awards will more then likely come out soon, and ERHE will probably do quite well, but becuase of it's history and the bizzareness of this group of longs, I'll bet you barely break a buck a share.

The biggest bunch of goofy longs I have ever seen in my 30 years of trading. You all deserve each other for the most part. Assholes ALL!

Anonymous said...

Hey dumbass, what's your point? Do you care about every geo-political situation that involve your stocks? Of course not.

I was merely making the point that all of the delays are costing both countries. Oil companies will not be as eager to do business in an area with so many delays.

If you cant understand that than you dont understand business.

By the way, I do agree with you about some of the "goofy" longs. I have ripped them plenty over the last several days.

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
...Joe Shea said...

You don't scare me, you lying creep.

Anonymous said...

OK...

Just remember 2 things

I don't lie...

I never forget...

Swinging---k

...Joe Shea said...

You lied about the awards, about de Menezes signing them, and countless other things, and other times. The more I find out about you the sorrier you will be, and you can expect to read it writ large right here.

Anonymous said...

I have never ever lied about anything having to do with ERHE.
Menezes signed, they are waiting for the signature of a PM. Keep going down the ID Models angle. That's really accurate, kind of like your entire amateur coverage of these awards.
See ya soon Joe...
sleep well.

Swinging---k

Anonymous said...

Anonymous 30 year trader:

Why are you so angry? You must attach people and say that their only incentive to be in this stock is to make money?

WAKE UP! You have traded for 30 years and did not realize that the purpose of an investment is to make a return? That explains your anger, if you were a successful trader we would not see your comments here because you would be too busy enjoying retirement.

And, how ERHC performs as a stock after the awards will have very little to do with the behaviour of the longs. Time for someone to have a refresher investment course.

Anonymous said...

Swing,

Could awards be announced without the Prime Minister of Sao Tome signing on? Im sure for political purposes it would be much better if he did but is it absolutely necessary?? TIA

P.S. Swing and Joe: Why the hell are you two at each other's throats? I have spent alot of time on here defending both of you. Both of you have provided good information. Its just that the process is constantly evolving so it makes everyone look bad. Dont sweat the small stuff and in the words of the great Rodney King lol "Cant we all just get along"

Signed,

Stockspartan

Anonymous said...

Stock Spartan,

Shmo thinks it's cool to post what he thought to be my personal info on this BS sorry excuse for a blog. Luck for me his info about me is as reliable as his ERHE info...
In any case it is unacceptable behavior.

SK

Anonymous said...

Ok I see your point Swing.

Joe stop posting personal info on the blog. It's not appropriate.

Other than that (and your price predictions) I have enjoyed the info on the blog Joe.

Stockspartan

Anonymous said...

Swinging K,

Why do you keep reading this blog if it makes you so angry. If you don't like Joe or his info just STOP reading the blog. Your comments and your anger make you look like a disturbed person! Go get a Happy Meal Bitch!

Anonymous said...

Swing spends a lot of time in Miami for an investment banker...

Anonymous said...

We keep reading it even though it makes us angry because it has a direct effect on our investment.

And "angry guy" - make up your mind, are we going to barely break a buck, or are we going to do quite well?

You're right, I am politically incorrect and could give a shit about Sao Tome. I pray for a stable political climate only to get awards. I invested in ERHE to make money, not so I can wax poetic about social injustice in Africa.