Tuesday, April 12, 2005

Nigerian Newspapers Report Exxon Decision - Very Differently

Several days after the fact, and before the Nigeria-Sao Tome and Principe Joint Development Authority has even managed to put a press release on its Website, This Day and the Daily Independent, two leading Nigerian daily newspapers, have finally reported what the Dow Jones News Service revealed last Friday: The current round of Joint Development Zone licensing is a "no go" for multinational giant ExxonMobil.

The stories are markedly different in emphasis, though. The Daily Independent focuses on what the company may have told the JDA about using its options in future licensing rounds, a possibility suggested first in UpstreamOnline by Barry Morgan and later here.

Here is the Daily Independent piece by veteran oil writer Bassey Udo:

ExxonMobil reserves rights on JDZ oil bloc
by Bassey Udo, Energy Editor


LAGOS -- After weeks of suspense, American oil giant, ExxonMobil, expected to exercise its rights in two of the five oil blocs on offer in the 2004 Licensing Round of the Nigeria-Sao Tome and Principe Joint Development Zone (JDZ) on Monday opted to reserve any such rights.

The Joint Development Authority (JDA) December last year put on offer five oil blocs – 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 of the JDZ for which 23 prospective companies staked over $60 billion in 26 bids.

Following the conclusion of consultations between the Nigerian and Sao Tome’s authorities on issues concerning the 2004 licensing round, the JDA last month notified ExxonMobil to move within 30 days to exercise its pre-emptive rights to pave the way for the final appraisal of the bids and announcement of the result by the Joint Ministerial Council (JMC).

Following the expiration of the deadline last Friday, the company expected to exercise its rights in blocs 2, 3 and 4 in the zone, however, opted to hold back on such rights, thus ending the planned announcement of the final bid result, which could [have] been held later this week.

A terse statement on Monday in Lagos said inter alia: “We confirm that ExxonMobil has elected not to exercise its rights to participate in additional blocs that may be awarded pursuant to the current tender round in the Joint Development Zone of Nigeria and Sao Tome and Principe”.

ExxonMobil, however, confirmed it is retaining its right to participate in the development of the premier Bloc-1 scheduled to commence production later this year.

The company, through its subsidiary, Esso Exploration and Production Nigeria-Sao Tome "One" Limited, holds 40 per cent stake in the bloc operated by ChevronTexaco, through its subsidiary, ChevronTexaco JDZ Limited (51 per cent) as a Joint Venture which also involves Dangote and Energy Equity Resources (DEER) Limited (9 per cent).

When Udo uses the phrase "ending the planned announcement of the final bid result, which could [have] been held later this week," he seems to be saying there will be no awards announcement. But the Joint Development Authority, thankfully, has spelled out April 22, Friday after next, as the long-awaited date certain for awards.

It's a different story over at This Day, which says that the awards are coming "very soon."

This Day also quotes the press release from Exxon, but adds the words of an unnamed ExxonMobil official saying the development costs were too high for the company - which has a $25 billion cash surplus.

As usual, the piece is riddled with errors, including one that veteran oil journalist Mike Oduniyi should have avoided. He identified a competitor for Block 4, ECL International, as an American firm.

While there is an American firm of that name in Louisiana, the real ECL International is a Nigerian company. More in his familiar role as Conoil promoter than reporter, Oduniyi said that the decision leaves Conoil and ECL International battling for control of Block 4.

To the contrary, most reporters have said ERHC Energy and its partner, Noble Energy, which have proposed drilling three wells in one year in Block 4 if they get operatorship, are vying with U.S.-based Anadarko Petroleum for the block. Earlier reports said Anadarko and ExxonMobil had proposed a deal to the JDA which the Authority rejected.

Like a piece the same reporter did several weeks ago that produced a $0.19-cent drop, this one must be taken with great caution and many - not just one - grains of salt with respect to its suggestions regarding Conoil.

Here is the latest piece, from This Day's Tuesday morning edition:

JDZ: ExxonMobil Turns Down Oil Block Offer
by Mike Oduniyi

April 12, 2005

LAGOS -- ExxonMobil has turned down the offer to take up 25 percent equity in oil blocks in the Joint Development Zone (JDZ) of the Gulf of Guinea, under the 2004 Licensing Round organised by Nigeria and the Republic of Sao Tome and Principe.

By virtue of an agreement reached by all parties with interest in the JDZ, the US oil major has preferential rights to three of the nine blocks. The company exercised its rights by claiming 40 percent interest in Block 01, awarded last year by the JDA.

Final decision on the award of five oil blocks put on offer by the Joint Development Authority (JDA), the body managing hydrocarbon resources within the zone on behalf of the two countries, had been delayed as the agency awaited ExxonMobil's response to the rights offer.

The JDA, which last November called bids for the oil blocks named 02, 03, 04, 05 and 06, was initially expected to announce the winners in January this year. This was shifted to allow ExxonMobil exercise its preferential rights.

"We confirm that ExxonMobil has elected not to exercise its rights to participate in additional blocks that may be awarded pursuant to the current tender round in the Joint Development Zone of Nigeria and Sao Tome and Principe," the company said yesterday.

A senior company official cited economic reasons for turning down the offer. "It is for business reasons. We looked at the costs (of exploration and drilling) and the gains," said the official.

The company added that it was retaining its 40 percent interest in Block 1 that was awarded in April 2004. Other partners in the block regarded as the most prolific in the zone are Dangote-Energy Equity Resources (nine percent) and ChevronTexaco, 51 percent.

A JDA source said yesterday that ExxonMobil was actually given up to the end of last week to exercise the rights. The source said the latest development meant that the Joint Ministerial Council (JMC) would be meeting very soon to take a decision on the awards.

Analysts said yesterday that ExxonMobil pulling out of the contest, should pave the way for a straight contest between Nigeria's leading indigenous oil production company, Conoil and another US oil firm, ECL International, which are targeting Block 04.

Conoil has offered to pay $150 million (N20 billion), while ECL International offered $175 million.


In a late-breaking article from Reuters, available in the comments section below, ExxonMobil repeats the information it gave to This Day and ERHC Energy is mentioned as another firm that got the same kind of rights for services performed before the Nigeria-Sao Tome and Principe Joint Development Zone was created.

The new round of stories did depress the price by $0.02 cents during market trading Tuesday, despite the fact that it boosts ERHC's chances of gaining operatorships in three coveted blocks.

The volume Tuesday was 1,074,104 shares, approximately the same as yesterday's. In Tuesday's action, though, sell orders outpaced buy orders by 594,584 to 427,070, while the number of trades - 194 - was almost identical to yesterday's 198.

19 comments:

Anonymous said...

:)

Anonymous said...

Nice reporting, Joe... Seriously.

SH70

Anonymous said...

very level-headed commenting on an article that you in months past might have spun negatively. thanks joe. you have been a great information source, although i haven't always agreed with your opinions

Anonymous said...

ERHC and Exxon in Same Reuters Press Release

ExxonMobil declines oil rights in Gulf of Guinea

http://yahoo.reuters.com/financeQuoteCompanyNewsArticle.jhtml?duid=mtfh61126_2005-04-12_11-57-09_l12655750_newsml

Tue Apr 12, 2005 07:57 AM ET

LAGOS, April 12 (Reuters) - ExxonMobil (XOM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) will not exercise its preferential rights to a 25 percent stake in offshore oil blocks on offer by Nigeria and Sao Tome in their joint development area, the energy giant said on Tuesday.

The Nigeria-Sao Tome Joint Development Authority (JDA) had in February given the U.S.-based oil company a pre-emptive right to any two of the five blocks in the second bidding round which began in December.

The blocks are located in the Gulf of Guinea, which has seen a swathe of huge deep water oil discoveries over the last decade and could provide the world's biggest energy consumer, the United States with a strategic supplement to its supplies from the Middle East.

"ExxonMobil has elected not to exercise its rights to participate in additional blocks that may be awarded pursuant to the current tender round," a company spokesman said, without giving reasons.

Nigeria's ThisDay newspaper, quoting an unnamed company official, said the oil major had turned down the oil block offer for "business reasons", after weighing the costs of exploration and drilling and the potential gains.

The JDA had said that a decision on the rights by ExxonMobil would pave the way for final licence awards to be made.

ExxonMobil and a little-known American firm ERHC Energy (ERHE.OB: Quote, Profile, Research) enjoyed the rights because they invested in the exploration under a deal with the tiny state of Sao Tome and Principe before the disputed area became a Joint Development Zone, managed bilaterally.

The JDA received bids from 23 firms for five blocks in the deep waters shared by Africa's top oil producer and Sao Tome, an impoverished archipelago which is hoping to transform its economy thanks to its potential oil riches.

ExxonMobil, the world's largest publicly quoted oil company said it retained the 40 percent interest the JDA awarded to it last year in Block One, the most sought-after of the nine blocks offered in the first licensing round.

Exxon Mobil is Nigeria's second biggest oil producer after Royal Dutch Shell (RD.AS: Quote, Profile, Research) (SHEL.L: Quote, Profile, Research) .

...Joe Shea said...

SH70, I'm grateful for the compliment.

Anonymous said...

Lets just hope the JDA and the JMC actually come to an agreement on awards on the 22nd and make an announcement.

I would have liked to have heard from Sam Dimka that "awards will be announced on April 22nd."

Instead he said, "The JMC will meet on the 22 april to take a final decision on the block awards."

What does that mean?

Anonymous said...

I also dont like the fact that thye are waiting until the 22nd to convene. If the deadline for Exxon was April 9th then why didnt the JMC keep their schedules open the following week and plan a meeting right after the 9th.

I understand that African's have a different concept of time then the western world. And Im sure the JDA has to iron out a few things before they make their final recommendation to the JMC. So Im hoping that is the reason for the 22nd meeting date.

Anonymous said...

Is it just my bad memory or my brain processing things differently? I seem to recall a press release from Exxon & the Nigerian goverment about 1-2 weeks ago regarding a power plant that Exxon promised to build in Nigeria and then Exxon backed out of the deal.

Perhaps (and this is PURE speculation) Exxon is backing away from this whole deal so as not to be forced into or having funds siezed for reneging on their building of the power plant?

Just a thought.

Anonymous said...

I buy the economic rationale Exxon gave for backing out. They wanted an operatorship so there would be more in the deal for them, and they did not get it, thus they felt it was not as much gain for the pain as they would like.

ERHC and their partners still have greater incentive, with the possibility of more than one operatorship in addition to the rights ERHC has claimed.

Anonymous said...

Memo to Walldog,

Your obsessive posting about Exxon is beginning to be a bit too much. Last time I checked Exxon notified the JDA before the April 9th deadline. That is what they were required to do and they did. So you no longer have a gripe. Its over so let it go.

You better start obsessing over the April 22nd supposed JMC meeting date. You should be wondering if they are actually going to announce awards on that date. Or is it just to get together to review the JDA recommendations.

You better also hope that they dont delay things further and squabble over the JDA recommendations.

And finally you better hope that they dont propose a complete rebid of the second round.

I would start obsessing over these things if I were you and stop your constant whining about Exxon. They are gone now. The delays are no longer their fault if there are any.

Anonymous said...

I wrote the last message and you do have my permission to post it on RB.

Anonymous said...

If there is a delay beyond April 22nd will all of you stop blaming Exxon?

Anonymous said...

As an ERHE long I have to agree. Walldog needs to tone down his comments regarding Exxon. Its an embarassment to the board and makes the whole board look foolish and immature.

Anonymous said...

save your rubbish for the RB board where it belongs.


FRYCHEF

Anonymous said...

I am beginning to think Walldog is a paid basher who is planted to act as an ERHE long for the sole purpose of pissing everyone off in this awards process.

Anonymous said...

Yeah how intelligent. Lets piss every decision maker off before they have actually made a decision on awards. Real smart move dumb_ss.

Someone needs to tell the board clown that the awards havent been decided yet. Show some class and some grace before and after awards.

Anonymous said...

Is the rumor true about Walldog's german shepard?

Pissin and stuff at the base of the Exxon sign ever morning when he walks him?

FRYCHEF

Anonymous said...

Walldog is a great guy. He just got a little carried away like most posters do at times.

Anonymous said...

I agree.